A research study to predict the waning of the second wave of COVID-19 in Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala & West Bengal

prediction of covid 19 end time
In the current pandemic situation, a pertinent question is the estimate of time by which the second wave of COVID – 19 spread could be contained and normalcy would return. In this context, Prof. D. Narayana Rao, Pro-Vice-Chancellor, SRM University – AP initiated the study to predict the End-Time of COVID – 19 in the states of Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala & West Bengal. Dr. Soumyajyoti Biswas of SRM University – AP along with 4 B.Tech Students: Mr. Anvesh Reddy, Mr. Hanesh Koganti, Mr. Sai Krishna, and Mr. Suhas Reddy have carried out an interesting study to predict the end time of the second wave of COVID – 19 spread in these states. Study employed Susceptible – Infected – Recovered (SIR) Model making use of the information on the COVID – 19 affected people and the number of recovered people, the data which the state governments make them available. SRM Team made use of these data employed SIR Model and applied the methods of Machine Learning. The End -Times of the spread of COVID-19 for different states are given in the following table:

States Uttar Pradesh Delhi Karnataka Maharashtra Andhra Pradesh Tamil Nadu Kerala West Bengal
End-time May 27 May 28 July 1 July 13 July 16 July 26 August 12 September 2
Errors -2 days, + 3 days -2 days, + 2 days – 6 days, + 5 days -7 days, + 7 days -16 days, + 28 days -17 days, + 33 days -14 days, + 14 days -30 days, + 30 days

 

End-Time is defined as the date on which the number of COVID affected cases get reduced to 5% of the peak number of cases occurred in the particular state.

The model is also validated with the actuals occurred in the States of Delhi and Uttar Pradesh.

Uttar Pradesh: Peak of 37,944 was n 24th April 2021 and 5% of the peak number is 1897 and is predicted to occur on 27th May with an error of -2 days to +3 days
Actuals: 27th May: 3179, 28th May: 2276, 29th May: 2014, 30th May: 1864

Delhi: Peak of 28,935 was on 20th April 2021 and 5% of the peak number is 1490 and is predicted to occur on 28th May with an error of – 2 days to + 2 days
Actuals:26th May: 1491, 27th May : 1072, 28th May : 1141

The validation mentioned of the end-times of the second wave of COVID-19 spread increases our confidence level to the predictions made for other states also.

It can be noticed that in the States of West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh, the second wave of COVID-19 continues to spread for longer periods and errors are large compared to the other states of Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Karnataka, and Maharashtra. Perhaps, these factors could be attributed to the large gatherings that have occurred in the 4 states on several occasions.

Prof Narayana Rao said that these predictions mentioned above could help in estimating the impact on medium and small business sectors. In the education sector, it could help in planning the academic sessions, examinations, etc. It could also help to plan necessary medical infrastructure for healthcare in different states.

The details of the study can be found in [2105.13288] Machine learning predictions of COVID-19 second wave end-times in Indian states (arxiv.org)

The eleventh edition of the University Distinguished Lecture Series in SRM University-AP, Andhra Pradesh, is scheduled to be held on July 24, 2021, Saturday, at 11.00 am. Padma Vibhushan awardee Dr K Kasturirangan, Chairman, National Education Policy-2020 (NEP), will deliver the virtual lecture as the chief guest. Dr Audimulapu Suresh, minister of education in the government of Andhra Pradesh, will also join the esteemed lecture.

In the lecture titled “Creating a Vibrant Knowledge Society – An Indian Strategy for 21st Century”, Dr Kasturirangan will explicate the nuances underlying the conceptualisation of National Education Policy 2020. Being the first education policy of the 21st century, NEP 2020 proposes to address the many growing developmental imperatives of our country. This policy aims to revise and revamp all aspects of the education structure, including its regulation and governance, and create a new system that is aligned with the aspirational goals of 21st-century education while building upon India’s traditions and value systems.

More about the Distinguished Guest:
Dr K. Kasturirangan is currently Chancellor, Central University of Rajasthan; Chairman, Governing Board, Inter-University Centre for Astronomy and Astrophysics (IUCAA); Chairperson, NIIT University, Neemrana; Member, Atomic Energy Commission, Emeritus Professor at National Institute of Advanced Studies (NIAS), Bangalore and Honorary Distinguished Advisor, Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO). He has been conferred with the highest civilian honours Padma Shri (1982), Padma Bhushan (1992) and Padma Vibhushan (2000) by the President of India, the Rajyotsava Prashasthi (2014) from Government of Karnataka and Award of ‘Officer of the Legion d’honneur’ (2002) by the President of the French Republic, France.

Every month, the University Distinguished Lecture (UDL) hosted by SRM University-AP is being attended by about 2000 members from IITs, NITs, IISERs, Universities/institutions, CSIR, DST, DBT, DRDO, DAE, ISRO, NARL, MoES and several others from different parts of the country. We gladly invite you to attend the enlightening UDL-11 session with the doyen of the Indian education system, Dr K Kasturirangan.

Register here: https://srmap.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_49Zwu_m8Srep-qrnNWMW0Q     (Registration Closed)

The Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering (ECE) organises a panel session on “Research Opportunities in ECE” to discuss the prospective research areas that a graduate from SRM University-AP can ingress into. The session will be moderated by Dr Anuj Deshpande, Assistant Professor from the department on July 3, 2021, at 6.00 pm.

The panel members and speakers for this programme will be Prof Priya Ranjan, Dr Ramesh Vaddi, Dr Divya Chaturvedi, and Dr Anirban Ghosh.

SRM University-AP offers research guidance and assistance in the fields of AI-enabled Clinical MultiMedia Processing, Battery Research, Future Communication Systems, Hardware Security, RF and Applied Photonics, Systems Biology, and Wearable Electronic Systems. The state of the art research laboratories in the department such as Electronics Laboratory, Communications Systems Laboratory, Microprocessor/Microcontroller Interface Lab, Microwave Laboratory, Digital Signal Processing and VLSI Laboratory aid students to explore the latest technological methodologies of research. The department has also undertaken various research projects sponsored by DST-SERB, DST/INT/RUS/RFBR collaborated with Russian Scientists, ICMR, and DBT.

To know more about the research opportunities that an ECE graduate student can find at their disposal, join this informational panel discussion on July 3, 2021, at 6.00 pm.

Link to register: https://srmap.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_IERgm1rGS4epzQa9imeqkA

To know more: https://srmap.edu.in/seas/electronics-and-communication-engineering/research-areas/

Electronics and Communication Engineering plays an important role in futuristic technologies both in Indian and global markets. For example, 6G, Glasses-free 3D-TV, Autonomous driving, Industry 4.0, Augmented/Virtual Reality and Artificial Intelligence etc. The Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering (ECE) at SRM University-AP is organising a panel session on the topic “Higher Studies Opportunities with ECE” on July 10, 2021, at 6.00 pm. In the session moderated by Assistant Professor Dr Sunil Chinnadurai, Assistant Professor Dr Inbarasan Muniraj will educate the attendees on the reasons why one should choose Electronics and Communication Engineering rather than Computer Science Engineering.

The syllabus at SRM University-AP brings up industry-ready ECE graduates incorporating the design thinking curriculum along with advanced courses such as AI-ML, IoT, Embedded systems, Advanced VLSI, Signal Processing, Communication Systems, and Networking which are the current needs of the industry. ECE better than other engineering branches because the top inventions like mobile phone, Computer, Satellite, Internet, 5G/6G, IoT, AR/VR, Holograms, Machine Learning, AI, smart homes/cities, together with some of the recent necessities like CT scan, Oximeter, infrared thermometers are all the products of ECE.

Let us BREAK the myth that the Electronics and Communication Engineering branch is a hard nut to crack and know about higher education possibilities by joining the interactive webinar on July 10, 2021, at 6.00 pm.

Register here: https://srmap.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_tK5PYnsJQwaA8i8Xt7QBCQ

To know more: https://srmap.edu.in/blog/choose-ece-cse/

Humanities is the discipline that studies languages, histories and cultures. The BA English course at SRM University-AP offers students knowledge of the language and develops in them skills that foster their career paths. Dr Srabani Basu, Associate Professor and Head of the Department of English and Dr Ram Kulesh Thakur, Assistant Professor in the Department will explicate the course curriculum, subjects, scope, specialisation, and available job avenues of BA English course in a virtual session titled “Humanities lead to different career avenues” on July 13, 2021, at 4.00 pm.

Students pursuing BA English at SRM-AP develop an insight into the culture of the English-Speaking communities across the world. This three-year undergraduate course intends to help students comprehend the significance of Indian and world literature. The programme puts equal emphasis on classroom lectures, practical job-oriented electives, publishing research papers, internships etc. After earning a bachelor’s degree in English, you can work as a writer, academic, journalist, in advertising, publishing, public relations, television, or in the film industry, among other professions.

SRM University-AP aims to produce graduates who are skilled and wield opportunities in the competitive world. If you desire to pursue BA in English from SRM University-AP, attend this exclusive webinar titled “Humanities lead to different career avenues” on July 13, 2021, at 4.00 pm.

Register here: https://srmap.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_sD4UnFKeSLyNvToZ2C7mzA

Electronics and Communication Engineering (ECE) at SRM University-AP prepares students to take part in the next-gen industrial revolution (Industry 4.0 and beyond). To inform the aspirants about the activity-based inter & multi-disciplinary learning and the vibrant life of ECE students, the Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering is organising a webinar and panel session on July 17, 2021, at 6.00 pm.

In the session “Clubs with ECE (Microwave+ Linux)” moderated by Assistant professor Dr Sibendu Samanta, Assistant professor Dr Goutam Rana will talk about the specialised clubs for experiential learning that ECE students receive at our university.

Study Abroad Programme (SAP) aimed for students at SRM University- AP let them spend one full semester in one of our collaborating universities (The University of California, University of Wisconsin, Flinders University, IIT Chicago, Efrei Paris, National Tsing Hua University, University of Skovde, North Eastern University, Asia University). The Linux club to ease out learning complex coding in Advance OS and Computer and the Antenna/Microwave component designing club to bridge the gap between RF, Microwave Industry and conceptual theoretical classroom learning are specialities of ECE department.

Join this interactive webinar on July 17, 2021, at 6.00 pm and know how your life as an ECE graduate student at SRM University-AP.

Register here: https://srmap.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_zM1QE8wAQ72_kM20jX4InA

To know more: https://srmap.edu.in/blog/life-of-an-ece-student/

SRM University-AP is extremely proud to announce the accomplishments of the Saptarshi and Rajarshi Mazumder brothers, two magnificent Computer Science Engineering graduates from the Maiden Batch-2017. The duo bagged jobs at Japan’s PVP Inc., a strategic partner of Google Japan, with a whopping 50 LPA salary packages each, making the achievement the highest salary package amongst the 96 per cent of students who secured placements in the campus recruitment drive. The Department of Students’ Affairs has invited Saptarshi and Rajarshi to the upcoming segment of “The Newsmakers” on July 03, 2021, at 5:30 pm., where they will share their journey from SRM University-AP to a top-tier global organisation.

Japan’s PVP Inc. is a strategic partner of Google, which is one of the world’s largest search engine providers. It offers products and services that enable the creation of new businesses. It is the first time that students from a private university in India have received a 50-lakh rupee salary package. Both Saptarshi and Rajarshi, the twin brothers, have set an example by bagging equal salary packages from the same organisation.

To honour the twins Saptarshi and Rajarshi, SRM University-AP has awarded them with a cash prize of 2 lakh rupees. They are among the few to secure exciting positions at one of the top-notch multinational technology companies. To know more about their successful journey to Google, Japan, attend the inspirational virtual session on July 03, 2021, at 5:30 pm.

Essential coping skills for students

Many young people find it strenuous to deal with unexpected events in their lives. It is vital to be kind to your mental health. Coping skills help an individual to face and overcome stressful circumstances. To educate students on Coping Skills, the Department of Students’ Affairs is initiating a virtual talk on July 03, 2021, at 3.00 pm with Ms Aayushi Sharma, the Student Counsellor of our university.

Young people, when they face difficulties in their careers, can become easily stressed. In simple terms, coping skills are the ability one needs to handle any situation in life with intelligence and resilience. The coping mechanisms and the capacity to deal with problems vary among individuals. Everyone experiences ups and downs in life, no matter what they are. Some face situations with courage, and others succumb to dangerous steps. Thus, coping skills are essential to deal with this tough, competitive world.

SRM University-AP takes care of the complete development of students which includes their emotional well-being. Therefore, all students are invited to attend the interactive session on July 03, 2021, at 3.00 pm to learn healthy practices for life.

The Department of ECE and Corporate Relations & Career Services are partnering to organise the 4th edition of the talk series-ECE in Industry on July 03, 2021, at 5 pm (Saturday). Mr. Sankar Sundaralingam, Head of HR for the Manufacturing Plant, BMW, India, will speak about “Career Opportunities in Automotive Electronics” and enlighten the students with requirements to pursue their career in automotive industry.

The session aims to cover an overview of the automotive industry, future trends, and areas of interest for electronic engineering students.

Mr. Sundaralingham has over 16+ years of experience in Human Resources in the automobile, manufacturing, Engineering & IT domains. He began his career in September 2004 as an officer of HR at TCL India, a Hong Kong-based MNC, and later took over TCL India’s overall HR operation. Mr. Sundaralingham has handled multiple unions, international workers, and green field projects.

In June 2012, he moved to TATA Johnson Controls (Group of TATA Auto Components) as the Sr. Manager of HR for the Chennai Facility. From 2015 – 2020, he was associated with BSH (Bosch & Siemens Home Appliances) as General Manager Human Resource Business Partner, Handling Talent Management, Employee Relations, Talent Acquisition, Learning & Development for regional technology India.

Mr. Sundaralingham has a bachelor’s in law, a Master’s in Labour Management from the University of Madras and a PGCHRM from XLRI, Jamshedpur.

The World HRD Congress presented Mr. Sundaralingham with the Super Achiever-HR award. He is an avid storyteller and a writer.

Mr. Sundaralingham is a member of the HR Forums. He is treasurer of Chroma (Centre for Human Resource officers & Managers Affinity), member of NIPM, Chennai Chapter & Co-founder and trustee of the Ooruni Foundation.

Join the session on July 3, 2021, at 5 p.m. (Saturday) for an informative lecture about career opportunities in the automotive industry.

Dr Sudhakar Tummala